NFL Power Rankings
All 32 teams ordered by the PS Rating, our composite team rating: a calibrated blend of three internal systems (Elo, Glicko, and opponent-adjusted EPA per play), with the blend weights fit to actual game outcomes. 1500 is league average. One number, model-based, no columnist's gut, and the market-blended season sim rides along for the projection columns. Updated Sep 12, 2026.
| # | Team | PS Rating | Proj W | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SEA
|
2012 | 11 (8-14) | 78% | 10% |
| 2 |
SF
|
1969 | 10 (7-13) | 64% | 4% |
| 3 |
DEN
|
1840 | 10 (7-13) | 70% | 7% |
| 4 |
BUF
|
1801 | 11 (7-14) | 76% | 9% |
| 5 |
HOU
|
1776 | 11 (7-14) | 75% | 8% |
| 6 |
PHI
|
1733 | 10 (7-13) | 67% | 6% |
| 7 |
DET
|
1710 | 10 (7-14) | 66% | 6% |
| 8 |
MIN
|
1660 | 9 (6-12) | 46% | 2% |
| 9 |
JAX
|
1655 | 10 (6-13) | 61% | 4% |
| 10 |
NE
|
1636 | 10 (6-13) | 63% | 5% |
| 11 |
CHI
|
1626 | 9 (6-12) | 45% | 3% |
| 12 |
LAC
|
1625 | 9 (6-13) | 57% | 5% |
| 13 |
GB
|
1616 | 9 (6-13) | 48% | 3% |
| 14 |
BAL
|
1592 | 10 (7-13) | 69% | 5% |
| 15 |
PIT
|
1576 | 9 (5-12) | 43% | 2% |
| 16 |
KC
|
1487 | 9 (6-12) | 53% | 3% |
| 17 |
LA
|
1485 | 10 (7-13) | 67% | 9% |
| 18 |
TB
|
1442 | 8 (5-12) | 45% | 2% |
| 19 |
ATL
|
1425 | 7 (4-11) | 28% | 1% |
| 20 |
IND
|
1421 | 8 (5-11) | 31% | 1% |
| 21 |
DAL
|
1414 | 9 (5-12) | 42% | 2% |
| 22 |
CIN
|
1387 | 9 (6-13) | 54% | 2% |
| 23 |
WAS
|
1382 | 7 (4-10) | 21% | 1% |
| 24 |
MIA
|
1359 | 6 (3-9) | 9% | 0% |
| 25 |
CAR
|
1315 | 7 (4-10) | 24% | 1% |
| 26 |
NO
|
1270 | 8 (4-11) | 34% | 1% |
| 27 |
CLE
|
1250 | 6 (3-10) | 13% | 0% |
| 28 |
NYG
|
1204 | 7 (4-10) | 21% | 0% |
| 29 |
ARI
|
1142 | 5 (2-8) | 4% | 0% |
| 30 |
NYJ
|
1095 | 6 (3-9) | 8% | 0% |
| 31 |
TEN
|
1049 | 6 (3-9) | 9% | 0% |
| 32 |
LV
|
1044 | 6 (3-9) | 8% | 0% |
PS Rating = our composite team rating: standardized Elo, Glicko and opponent-adjusted EPA, blended with weights calibrated on real game outcomes and mapped to an Elo-like scale (1500 average). Proj W = mean projected wins from the market-blended season sim (10th to 90th percentile in parentheses). Net = opponent-adjusted points per play above average.