Model Accuracy: AI Consensus, Best Models & Best Experts | Predicted Sports
predicted sports
Pro
Model Accuracy

Every pick, graded in public

The AI field's consensus record, the most accurate individual models, and the best tracked experts, per sport. Picks are locked before the game and graded against the real result, wins and losses alike.

MLB

AI consensus
55% 302/549
majority pick, graded MLB games
Unanimous 58% 237/408
Field split 46% 65/141
Best AI models
leaderboard โ†’
1 Claude Opus 4.8 57% 555 gr
2 Claude Sonnet 5 57% 535 gr
3 GPT-5.6 Luna Pro 56% 422 gr
4 DeepSeek V4 Pro 56% 486 gr
5 Gemini 3.6 Flash 56% 281 gr
Best experts
all experts โ†’
1 Pickswise icon Joe Williams 2-0 100%
2 Covers icon Josh Inglis 2-0 100%
3 Covers icon Joe Osborne 6-2 75%
4 Covers icon Shawn Krest 3-1 75%
5 Pickswise icon Jon Yaremko 13-6 68%

UFC

AI consensus
81% 51/63
majority pick, graded UFC fights
Unanimous 86% 38/44
Field split 68% 13/19
Best AI models
leaderboard โ†’
1 Gemini 3.5 Flash 84% 64 gr
2 Claude Opus 5 82% 38 gr
3 Claude Sonnet 5 81% 64 gr
4 DeepSeek V4 Pro 78% 64 gr
5 Grok 4.5 78% 64 gr
Best experts
all experts โ†’
1 Pickswise icon Mat 1-0 100%
2 DRatings icon DRatings 27-9 75%
The Daily Edge

Our Pro pick of the day, graded in public

One highest-conviction play a day across MLB and UFC, published to Pro members. Every pick is graded against the real result at the price it was called, wins and losses, no cherry-picking.

Record
8–10–1
Hit rate
44.4%
Units
-4.06u
ROI
-22.6%

Through 19 graded picks (1 unit per pick, at the recorded price). Still an early sample — we show it from pick one and let it prove out.

Every graded pick
  • Aug 8 ufc Diyar Nurgozhay ML Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes win
  • Aug 7 mlb MIA ML LAA @ MIA loss
  • Aug 6 mlb Under 9 MIA @ ATL loss
  • Aug 3 mlb NYY ML STL @ NYY loss
  • Aug 2 mlb Under 7 MIN @ SEA loss
  • Aug 1 ufc Navajo Stirling ML Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling win
  • Jul 31 mlb Under 10.5 DET @ ATH loss
  • Jul 30 mlb Under 7.5 NYY @ CWS win
  • Jul 28 mlb BOS ML BOS @ ATH loss
  • Jul 25 ufc Valter Walker ML Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen win
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Small samples are shown as small samples, records start from pick one and prove out in public. Expert picks are captured from public sources and frozen at first pitch. Informational only, not betting advice. The graded rows behind these tables are an open dataset (CC BY 4.0), refreshed weekly.