NFL Power Rankings
All 32 teams ordered by the PS Rating, our composite team rating: a calibrated blend of three internal systems (Elo, Glicko, and opponent-adjusted EPA per play), with the blend weights fit to actual game outcomes. 1500 is league average. One number, model-based, no columnist's gut, and the market-blended season sim rides along for the projection columns. Updated Aug 22, 2026.
| # | Team | PS Rating | Proj W | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SEA
|
1982 | 11 (8-14) | 74% | 10% |
| 2 |
LA
|
1837 | 11 (8-14) | 74% | 11% |
| 3 |
DEN
|
1817 | 10 (7-13) | 65% | 6% |
| 4 |
BUF
|
1801 | 10 (7-13) | 71% | 7% |
| 5 |
HOU
|
1783 | 10 (7-13) | 70% | 7% |
| 6 |
NE
|
1767 | 10 (6-13) | 64% | 5% |
| 7 |
PHI
|
1733 | 10 (6-13) | 61% | 4% |
| 8 |
DET
|
1700 | 10 (7-13) | 60% | 4% |
| 9 |
SF
|
1680 | 10 (6-13) | 54% | 4% |
| 10 |
JAX
|
1671 | 9 (6-13) | 58% | 4% |
| 11 |
GB
|
1629 | 9 (6-13) | 49% | 4% |
| 12 |
MIN
|
1627 | 9 (6-12) | 48% | 3% |
| 13 |
LAC
|
1621 | 9 (6-12) | 54% | 4% |
| 14 |
CHI
|
1620 | 9 (6-12) | 44% | 3% |
| 15 |
BAL
|
1577 | 10 (7-13) | 65% | 5% |
| 16 |
PIT
|
1552 | 9 (5-12) | 45% | 3% |
| 17 |
KC
|
1509 | 9 (6-12) | 51% | 3% |
| 18 |
IND
|
1468 | 8 (5-11) | 35% | 1% |
| 19 |
TB
|
1450 | 8 (5-12) | 43% | 2% |
| 20 |
ATL
|
1428 | 7 (4-11) | 30% | 1% |
| 21 |
DAL
|
1398 | 9 (5-12) | 45% | 2% |
| 22 |
WAS
|
1352 | 7 (4-11) | 27% | 1% |
| 23 |
CIN
|
1349 | 9 (6-13) | 55% | 3% |
| 24 |
MIA
|
1326 | 6 (3-9) | 11% | 0% |
| 25 |
CAR
|
1310 | 7 (4-11) | 26% | 1% |
| 26 |
NO
|
1286 | 8 (5-11) | 36% | 1% |
| 27 |
CLE
|
1231 | 7 (3-10) | 18% | 0% |
| 28 |
NYG
|
1221 | 7 (4-11) | 25% | 1% |
| 29 |
ARI
|
1171 | 5 (2-8) | 5% | 0% |
| 30 |
NYJ
|
1042 | 6 (3-9) | 12% | 0% |
| 31 |
LV
|
1032 | 6 (3-9) | 11% | 0% |
| 32 |
TEN
|
1029 | 6 (3-10) | 14% | 0% |
PS Rating = our composite team rating: standardized Elo, Glicko and opponent-adjusted EPA, blended with weights calibrated on real game outcomes and mapped to an Elo-like scale (1500 average). Proj W = mean projected wins from the market-blended season sim (10th to 90th percentile in parentheses). Net = opponent-adjusted points per play above average.