Sim Says
Minnesota Vikings
NFC North · Projected 9.1 wins (6–12 range) · updated Jul 14
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
47%
Win division
22%
#1 seed / bye
6%
Reach Super Bowl
6%
Win Super Bowl
3%
Proj wins
9.1
Proj points for
390
Market win total
8.8
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
-0.011
Elo
1574
Off EPA/play
-0.108
Def EPA/play
-0.097
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs
 GB
|
49% |
| 2 | @
 CHI
|
36% |
| 3 | @
 TB
|
42% |
| 4 | vs
 MIA
|
73% |
| 5 | @
 NO
|
59% |
| 7 | vs
 IND
proj |
64% |
| 8 | @
 DET
proj |
42% |
| 9 | vs
 BUF
proj |
46% |
| 10 | @
GB
proj |
44% |
| 11 | @
 SF
proj |
40% |
| 12 | vs
 ATL
proj |
63% |
| 13 | vs
 CAR
proj |
66% |
| 14 | @
 NE
proj |
40% |
| 15 | vs
DET
proj |
51% |
| 16 | vs
 WAS
proj |
61% |
| 17 | @
 NYJ
proj |
68% |
| 18 | vs
CHI
proj |
54% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.