Sim Says
New York Jets
AFC East · Projected 5.6 wins (3–9 range) · updated Jul 14
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
10%
Win division
4%
#1 seed / bye
0%
Reach Super Bowl
0%
Win Super Bowl
0%
Proj wins
5.6
Proj points for
324
Market win total
5.2
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
-0.233
Elo
1288
Off EPA/play
-0.123
Def EPA/play
+0.111
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @
 TEN
|
42% |
| 2 | vs
 GB
|
38% |
| 3 | @
 DET
|
25% |
| 4 | @
 CHI
|
25% |
| 5 | vs
 CLE
|
64% |
| 6 | @
 NE
proj |
20% |
| 7 | vs
 MIA
proj |
49% |
| 8 | vs
 LV
proj |
49% |
| 9 | @
 KC
proj |
24% |
| 10 | vs
 BUF
proj |
25% |
| 11 | @
 LAC
proj |
22% |
| 12 | @
MIA
proj |
40% |
| 14 | vs
 DEN
proj |
27% |
| 15 | @
 ARI
proj |
45% |
| 16 | vs
NE
proj |
28% |
| 17 | vs
 MIN
proj |
32% |
| 18 | @
BUF
proj |
18% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.