Sim Says
Tennessee Titans
AFC South · Projected 6.3 wins (3–10 range) · updated Jul 14
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
15%
Win division
6%
#1 seed / bye
1%
Reach Super Bowl
1%
Win Super Bowl
0%
Proj wins
6.3
Proj points for
338
Market win total
6.2
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
-0.176
Elo
1281
Off EPA/play
-0.096
Def EPA/play
+0.080
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs
 NYJ
|
58% |
| 2 | vs
 PHI
|
38% |
| 3 | @
 NYG
|
42% |
| 4 | @
 BAL
|
25% |
| 5 | vs
 HOU
|
38% |
| 6 | @
 IND
proj |
36% |
| 7 | vs
 CLE
proj |
54% |
| 8 | @
 CIN
proj |
29% |
| 10 | vs
 JAX
proj |
35% |
| 11 | @
 DAL
proj |
29% |
| 12 | @
JAX
proj |
27% |
| 13 | vs
 WAS
proj |
42% |
| 14 | @
 DET
proj |
24% |
| 15 | vs
IND
proj |
45% |
| 16 | @
 LV
proj |
44% |
| 17 | vs
 PIT
proj |
41% |
| 18 | @
HOU
proj |
23% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.