Sim Says
Cincinnati Bengals
AFC North · Projected 9.3 wins (6–13 range) · updated Jul 15
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
56%
Win division
30%
#1 seed / bye
8%
Reach Super Bowl
7%
Win Super Bowl
3%
Proj wins
9.3
Proj points for
393
Market win total
9.9
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
-0.098
Elo
1467
Off EPA/play
-0.000
Def EPA/play
+0.097
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs
 TB
|
58% |
| 2 | @
 HOU
|
42% |
| 3 | @
 PIT
|
59% |
| 4 | vs
 JAX
|
58% |
| 5 | @
 MIA
|
62% |
| 7 | @
 BAL
proj |
39% |
| 8 | vs
 TEN
proj |
71% |
| 9 | @
 ATL
proj |
52% |
| 10 | vs
PIT
proj |
58% |
| 11 | @
 WAS
proj |
50% |
| 12 | vs
 NO
proj |
63% |
| 13 | @
 CLE
proj |
62% |
| 14 | vs
 KC
proj |
53% |
| 15 | @
 CAR
proj |
55% |
| 16 | @
 IND
proj |
53% |
| 17 | vs
BAL
proj |
49% |
| 18 | vs
CLE
proj |
70% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.