Sim Says
Baltimore Ravens
AFC North · Projected 10.1 wins (7–13 range) · updated Jul 14
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
67%
Win division
44%
#1 seed / bye
13%
Reach Super Bowl
11%
Win Super Bowl
5%
Proj wins
10.1
Proj points for
408
Market win total
10.4
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
+0.013
Elo
1563
Off EPA/play
+0.030
Def EPA/play
+0.017
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @
 IND
|
62% |
| 2 | vs
 NO
|
75% |
| 3 | @
 DAL
|
50% |
| 4 | vs
 TEN
|
75% |
| 5 | @
 ATL
|
60% |
| 6 | @
 CLE
proj |
67% |
| 7 | vs
 CIN
proj |
61% |
| 8 | @
 BUF
proj |
41% |
| 9 | vs
 JAX
proj |
59% |
| 10 | vs
 LAC
proj |
57% |
| 11 | @
 CAR
proj |
61% |
| 12 | @
 HOU
proj |
44% |
| 14 | vs
 TB
proj |
65% |
| 15 | @
 PIT
proj |
55% |
| 16 | vs
CLE
proj |
76% |
| 17 | @
CIN
proj |
51% |
| 18 | vs
PIT
proj |
64% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.