Sim Says
Cleveland Browns
AFC North · Projected 6.7 wins (3–10 range) · updated Jul 15
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
18%
Win division
7%
#1 seed / bye
1%
Reach Super Bowl
1%
Win Super Bowl
0%
Proj wins
6.7
Proj points for
345
Market win total
5.8
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
-0.109
Elo
1381
Off EPA/play
-0.179
Def EPA/play
-0.070
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @
 JAX
|
20% |
| 2 | @
 TB
|
25% |
| 3 | vs
 CAR
|
36% |
| 4 | vs
 PIT
|
38% |
| 5 | @
 NYJ
|
36% |
| 6 | vs
 BAL
proj |
33% |
| 7 | @
 TEN
proj |
46% |
| 8 | @
PIT
proj |
33% |
| 9 | @
 NO
proj |
37% |
| 10 | vs
 HOU
proj |
32% |
| 12 | vs
 LV
proj |
54% |
| 13 | vs
 CIN
proj |
38% |
| 14 | vs
 ATL
proj |
45% |
| 15 | @
 NYG
proj |
38% |
| 16 | @
BAL
proj |
25% |
| 17 | vs
 IND
proj |
46% |
| 18 | @
CIN
proj |
30% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.