Sim Says
Arizona Cardinals
NFC West · Projected 5.2 wins (2–8 range) · updated Jul 14
2026 outlook
Make playoffs
5%
Win division
1%
#1 seed / bye
0%
Reach Super Bowl
0%
Win Super Bowl
0%
Proj wins
5.2
Proj points for
315
Market win total
4.1
Market win total is the Vegas/Kalshi season line, which our projection blends with our own ratings.
Team rating
Net rating
-0.045
Elo
1336
Off EPA/play
-0.006
Def EPA/play
+0.039
EPA per play, opponent-adjusted. For defense, lower (more negative) is better.
Projected schedule & win probabilities
| Wk | Opponent | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @
 LAC
|
12% |
| 2 | vs
 SEA
|
19% |
| 3 | @
 SF
|
5% |
| 4 | @
 NYG
|
25% |
| 5 | vs
 DET
|
19% |
| 6 | @
 LA
proj |
15% |
| 7 | vs
 DEN
proj |
28% |
| 8 | @
 DAL
proj |
26% |
| 9 | @
SEA
proj |
18% |
| 10 | vs
LA
proj |
21% |
| 11 | @
 KC
proj |
24% |
| 12 | vs
 WAS
proj |
38% |
| 13 | vs
 PHI
proj |
29% |
| 15 | vs
 NYJ
proj |
55% |
| 16 | @
 NO
proj |
33% |
| 17 | vs
 LV
proj |
49% |
| 18 | vs
SF
proj |
28% |
"proj" weeks use our simulated strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. Bye weeks are omitted.