Who is better at picking games, Covers Consensus or Dunkel Index?

On the 43 games both have graded, Covers Consensus leads with 28 wins to 18. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Covers Consensus and Dunkel Index disagree?

They took opposite sides on 24 of the 43 shared games, and Covers Consensus was right 17 of those 24 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Covers Consensus vs Dunkel Index

Covers vs Dunkel Index · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 43 games both have graded (all time), Covers Consensus leads 28–18 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 24 games where they took opposite sides: Covers Consensus was right 17 of 24.

MLB · 43 games both graded · Jul 21 to Jul 26, 2026

Covers Consensus

28–15

65% on shared games

Dunkel Index

18–25

42% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

24 of 43 shared games

Covers Consensus 17 · Dunkel Index 7

On the 19 games they agreed, the shared side went 11–8.

Closing-line value

Covers Consensus

+0.22 pp

beat the close 56.1% of 82 picks

Dunkel Index

-0.06 pp

beat the close 47.2% of 53 picks

More head-to-heads

Covers Consensus vs GLM 5.2 Covers Consensus vs Claude Opus 4.8 Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5 Covers Consensus vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Covers Consensus vs Claude Sonnet 5 Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Dunkel Index vs GLM 5.2 Dunkel Index vs Claude Opus 4.8 Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Dunkel Index vs Grok 4.5 Dunkel Index vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Dunkel Index vs Claude Sonnet 5 Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.