Who is better at picking games, Dunkel Index or Gemini 3.5 Flash?

On the 130 games both have graded, Gemini 3.5 Flash leads with 78 wins to 54. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Dunkel Index and Gemini 3.5 Flash disagree?

They took opposite sides on 62 of the 130 shared games, and Gemini 3.5 Flash was right 43 of those 62 times.

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Head-to-head

Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash

Dunkel Index vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 130 games both have graded (all time), Gemini 3.5 Flash leads 78–54 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 62 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.5 Flash was right 43 of 62.

MLB · 130 games both graded · Jul 21 to Aug 4, 2026

Dunkel Index

54–76

42% on shared games

Gemini 3.5 Flash

78–52

60% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

62 of 130 shared games

Dunkel Index 19 · Gemini 3.5 Flash 43

On the 68 games they agreed, the shared side went 35–33.

Closing-line value

Dunkel Index

-0.08 pp

beat the close 45.9% of 135 picks

Gemini 3.5 Flash

+0.23 pp

beat the close 53.4% of 431 picks

More head-to-heads

Dunkel Index vs GLM 5.2 Dunkel Index vs Claude Opus 4.8 Dunkel Index vs Grok 4.5 Dunkel Index vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Dunkel Index vs Claude Sonnet 5 Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

Gemini 3.5 Flash vs GLM 5.2 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Claude Opus 4.8 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Grok 4.5 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Claude Sonnet 5 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.