Who is better at picking games, Dunkel Index or Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite?

On the 107 games both have graded, Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite leads with 65 wins to 43. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Dunkel Index and Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite disagree?

They took opposite sides on 54 of the 107 shared games, and Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite was right 38 of those 54 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Dunkel Index vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 107 games both have graded (all time), Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite leads 65–43 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 54 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite was right 38 of 54.

MLB · 107 games both graded · Jul 24 to Aug 4, 2026

Dunkel Index

43–64

40% on shared games

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

65–42

61% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

54 of 107 shared games

Dunkel Index 16 · Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite 38

On the 53 games they agreed, the shared side went 27–26.

Closing-line value

Dunkel Index

-0.08 pp

beat the close 45.9% of 135 picks

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

+0.23 pp

beat the close 54.0% of 235 picks

More head-to-heads

Dunkel Index vs GLM 5.2 Dunkel Index vs Claude Opus 4.8 Dunkel Index vs Grok 4.5 Dunkel Index vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Dunkel Index vs Claude Sonnet 5 Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.6 Flash Dunkel Index vs Kimi K3

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs GLM 5.2 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Claude Opus 4.8 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Grok 4.5 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Claude Sonnet 5 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Gemini 3.6 Flash Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Kimi K3

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.