Claude Sonnet 5 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 553 games both have graded (all time), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 332–327 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 59 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Sonnet 5 was right 32 of 59.

MLB · 489 games both graded · Jul 1 to Aug 9, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
280–209
57% on shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash
273–216
56% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
57 of 489 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 32 · Gemini 3.5 Flash 25

On the 432 games they agreed, the shared side went 248–184.

UFC · 64 games both graded · Jul 11 to Aug 8, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
52–12
81% on shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash
54–10
84% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
2 of 64 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 0 · Gemini 3.5 Flash 2

On the 62 games they agreed, the shared side went 52–10.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.23 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 523 picks
Gemini 3.5 Flash
+0.19 pp
beat the close 52.9% of 476 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.