Claude Sonnet 5 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 335 games both have graded (last 90 days), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 201–193 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 44 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Sonnet 5 was right 26 of 44.

MLB · 297 games both graded · Jul 1 to Jul 26, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
169–128
57% on shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash
160–137
54% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
43 of 297 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 26 · Gemini 3.5 Flash 17

On the 254 games they agreed, the shared side went 143–111.

UFC · 38 games both graded · Jul 11 to Jul 25, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
32–6
84% on shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash
33–5
87% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
1 of 38 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 0 · Gemini 3.5 Flash 1

On the 37 games they agreed, the shared side went 32–5.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.16 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 285 picks
Gemini 3.5 Flash
+0.16 pp
beat the close 52.6% of 285 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.