Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 383 games both have graded (all time), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 227–221 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 24 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Sonnet 5 was right 15 of 24.

MLB · 331 games both graded · Jul 10 to Aug 6, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
186–145
56% on shared games
Grok 4.5
182–149
55% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
22 of 331 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 13 · Grok 4.5 9

On the 309 games they agreed, the shared side went 173–136.

UFC · 52 games both graded · Jul 11 to Aug 1, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
41–11
79% on shared games
Grok 4.5
39–13
75% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
2 of 52 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 2 · Grok 4.5 0

On the 50 games they agreed, the shared side went 39–11.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.26 pp
beat the close 55.2% of 431 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.34 pp
beat the close 56.8% of 331 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.