Claude Opus 4.8 vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Opus 4.8 vs Grok 4.5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 838 games both have graded (all time), Claude Opus 4.8 leads 487–475 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 74 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Opus 4.8 was right 43 of 74.

MLB · 749 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 4.8
424–325
57% on shared games
Grok 4.5
414–335
55% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
64 of 749 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 37 · Grok 4.5 27

On the 685 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

UFC · 89 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 4.8
63–26
71% on shared games
Grok 4.5
61–28
69% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
10 of 89 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 6 · Grok 4.5 4

On the 79 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

Closing-line value
Claude Opus 4.8
+0.20 pp
beat the close 54.9% of 849 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.21 pp
beat the close 55.3% of 752 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result from the daily line-blind forecasts. The head-to-head counts only games both models graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.