Claude Opus 4.8 vs Claude Sonnet 5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Opus 4.8 vs Claude Sonnet 5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 599 games both have graded (all time), they are dead even at 356 correct calls each. The sharper cut is the 56 games where they took opposite sides: they split them exactly, 28 apiece.

MLB · 535 games both graded · Jul 1 to Aug 13, 2026

Claude Opus 4.8
306–229
57% on shared games
Claude Sonnet 5
304–231
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
50 of 535 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 26 · Claude Sonnet 5 24

On the 485 games they agreed, the shared side went 280–205.

UFC · 64 games both graded · Jul 11 to Aug 8, 2026

Claude Opus 4.8
50–14
78% on shared games
Claude Sonnet 5
52–12
81% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
6 of 64 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 2 · Claude Sonnet 5 4

On the 58 games they agreed, the shared side went 48–10.

Closing-line value
Claude Opus 4.8
+0.25 pp
beat the close 54.5% of 523 picks
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.23 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 523 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.