Claude Opus 4.8 vs Claude Sonnet 5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Opus 4.8 vs Claude Sonnet 5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 335 games both have graded (last 90 days), Claude Opus 4.8 leads 203–201 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 38 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Opus 4.8 was right 20 of 38.

MLB · 297 games both graded · Jul 1 to Jul 26, 2026

Claude Opus 4.8
173–124
58% on shared games
Claude Sonnet 5
169–128
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
34 of 297 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 19 · Claude Sonnet 5 15

On the 263 games they agreed, the shared side went 154–109.

UFC · 38 games both graded · Jul 11 to Jul 25, 2026

Claude Opus 4.8
30–8
79% on shared games
Claude Sonnet 5
32–6
84% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
4 of 38 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 1 · Claude Sonnet 5 3

On the 34 games they agreed, the shared side went 29–5.

Closing-line value
Claude Opus 4.8
+0.23 pp
beat the close 56.1% of 285 picks
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.16 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 285 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.