Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 222 games both have graded (last 30 days), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 132–128 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 18 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Sonnet 5 was right 11 of 18.

MLB · 184 games both graded · Jul 10 to Jul 26, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
100–84
54% on shared games
Grok 4.5
97–87
53% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
17 of 184 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 10 · Grok 4.5 7

On the 167 games they agreed, the shared side went 90–77.

UFC · 38 games both graded · Jul 11 to Jul 25, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
32–6
84% on shared games
Grok 4.5
31–7
82% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
1 of 38 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 1 · Grok 4.5 0

On the 37 games they agreed, the shared side went 31–6.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.16 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 285 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.26 pp
beat the close 57.3% of 185 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.