Who is better at picking games, Dunkel Index or Gemini 3.5 Flash?

On the 48 games both have graded, Gemini 3.5 Flash leads with 27 wins to 21. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Dunkel Index and Gemini 3.5 Flash disagree?

They took opposite sides on 24 of the 48 shared games, and Gemini 3.5 Flash was right 15 of those 24 times.

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Head-to-head

Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash

Dunkel Index vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 48 games both have graded (last 90 days), Gemini 3.5 Flash leads 27–21 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 24 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.5 Flash was right 15 of 24.

MLB · 48 games both graded · Jul 21 to Jul 26, 2026

Dunkel Index

21–27

44% on shared games

Gemini 3.5 Flash

27–21

56% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

24 of 48 shared games

Dunkel Index 9 · Gemini 3.5 Flash 15

On the 24 games they agreed, the shared side went 12–12.

Closing-line value

Dunkel Index

-0.06 pp

beat the close 47.2% of 53 picks

Gemini 3.5 Flash

+0.16 pp

beat the close 52.6% of 285 picks

More head-to-heads

Dunkel Index vs GLM 5.2 Dunkel Index vs Claude Opus 4.8 Dunkel Index vs Grok 4.5 Dunkel Index vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Dunkel Index vs Claude Sonnet 5 Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Gemini 3.5 Flash vs GLM 5.2 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Claude Opus 4.8 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Grok 4.5 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Claude Sonnet 5 Gemini 3.5 Flash vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.