Who is better at picking games, Claude Opus 4.8 or Covers Consensus?

On the 80 games both have graded, Claude Opus 4.8 leads with 48 wins to 46. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Claude Opus 4.8 and Covers Consensus disagree?

They took opposite sides on 16 of the 80 shared games, and Claude Opus 4.8 was right 9 of those 16 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Claude Opus 4.8 vs Covers Consensus

AI model vs Covers · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 80 games both have graded (all time), Claude Opus 4.8 leads 48–46 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 16 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Opus 4.8 was right 9 of 16.

MLB · 80 games both graded · Jul 20 to Jul 26, 2026

Claude Opus 4.8

48–32

60% on shared games

Covers Consensus

46–34

58% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

16 of 80 shared games

Claude Opus 4.8 9 · Covers Consensus 7

On the 64 games they agreed, the shared side went 39–25.

Closing-line value

Claude Opus 4.8

+0.23 pp

beat the close 56.1% of 285 picks

Covers Consensus

+0.22 pp

beat the close 56.1% of 82 picks

More head-to-heads

Claude Opus 4.8 vs GLM 5.2 Claude Opus 4.8 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Claude Opus 4.8 vs Grok 4.5 Claude Opus 4.8 vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Claude Opus 4.8 vs Claude Sonnet 5 Claude Opus 4.8 vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Claude Opus 4.8 vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Claude Opus 4.8 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Covers Consensus vs GLM 5.2 Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5 Covers Consensus vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Covers Consensus vs Claude Sonnet 5 Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.