Who is better at picking games, Covers Consensus or Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite?

On the 165 games both have graded, Covers Consensus leads with 94 wins to 91. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Covers Consensus and Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite disagree?

They took opposite sides on 27 of the 165 shared games, and Covers Consensus was right 15 of those 27 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Covers vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 165 games both have graded (all time), Covers Consensus leads 94–91 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 27 games where they took opposite sides: Covers Consensus was right 15 of 27.

MLB · 165 games both graded · Jul 24 to Aug 6, 2026

Covers Consensus

94–71

57% on shared games

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

91–74

55% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

27 of 165 shared games

Covers Consensus 15 · Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite 12

On the 138 games they agreed, the shared side went 79–59.

Closing-line value

Covers Consensus

+0.22 pp

beat the close 53.6% of 207 picks

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

+0.33 pp

beat the close 55.3% of 190 picks

More head-to-heads

Covers Consensus vs GLM 5.2 Covers Consensus vs Claude Opus 4.8 Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5 Covers Consensus vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Covers Consensus vs Claude Sonnet 5 Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs GLM 5.2 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Claude Opus 4.8 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Grok 4.5 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Claude Sonnet 5 Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.