Claude Sonnet 5 vs Covers Consensus: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Covers Consensus

AI model vs Covers ยท same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 283 games both have graded (all time), Covers Consensus leads 160โ€“156 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 40 games where they took opposite sides: Covers Consensus was right 22 of 40.

MLB ยท 283 games both graded ยท Jul 20 to Aug 13, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
156โ€“127
55% on shared games
Covers Consensus
160โ€“123
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
40 of 283 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 18 ยท Covers Consensus 22

On the 243 games they agreed, the shared side went 138โ€“105.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.23 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 523 picks
Covers Consensus
+0.23 pp
beat the close 53.3% of 285 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.