Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5

Covers vs AI model ยท same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 206 games both have graded (all time), Covers Consensus leads 117โ€“115 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 28 games where they took opposite sides: Covers Consensus was right 15 of 28.

MLB ยท 206 games both graded ยท Jul 20 to Aug 6, 2026

Covers Consensus
117โ€“89
57% on shared games
Grok 4.5
115โ€“91
56% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
28 of 206 shared games
Covers Consensus 15 ยท Grok 4.5 13

On the 178 games they agreed, the shared side went 102โ€“76.

Closing-line value
Covers Consensus
+0.22 pp
beat the close 53.6% of 207 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.34 pp
beat the close 56.8% of 331 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.