Who is better at picking games, Covers Consensus or Kimi K3?

On the 198 games both have graded, Covers Consensus leads with 113 wins to 108. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Covers Consensus and Kimi K3 disagree?

They took opposite sides on 33 of the 198 shared games, and Covers Consensus was right 19 of those 33 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Covers Consensus vs Kimi K3

Covers vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 198 games both have graded (all time), Covers Consensus leads 113–108 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 33 games where they took opposite sides: Covers Consensus was right 19 of 33.

MLB · 198 games both graded · Jul 20 to Aug 6, 2026

Covers Consensus

113–85

57% on shared games

Kimi K3

108–90

55% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

33 of 198 shared games

Covers Consensus 19 · Kimi K3 14

On the 165 games they agreed, the shared side went 94–71.

Closing-line value

Covers Consensus

+0.22 pp

beat the close 53.6% of 207 picks

Kimi K3

+0.36 pp

beat the close 55.9% of 270 picks

More head-to-heads

Covers Consensus vs GLM 5.2 Covers Consensus vs Claude Opus 4.8 Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5 Covers Consensus vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Covers Consensus vs Claude Sonnet 5 Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Kimi K3 vs GLM 5.2 Kimi K3 vs Claude Opus 4.8 Kimi K3 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Kimi K3 vs Grok 4.5 Kimi K3 vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Kimi K3 vs Claude Sonnet 5 Kimi K3 vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Kimi K3 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.