Who is better at picking games, Claude Opus 5 or Covers Consensus?

On the 165 games both have graded, Covers Consensus leads with 94 wins to 92. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Claude Opus 5 and Covers Consensus disagree?

They took opposite sides on 20 of the 165 shared games, and Covers Consensus was right 11 of those 20 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Claude Opus 5 vs Covers Consensus

AI model vs Covers · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 165 games both have graded (all time), Covers Consensus leads 94–92 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 20 games where they took opposite sides: Covers Consensus was right 11 of 20.

MLB · 165 games both graded · Jul 24 to Aug 6, 2026

Claude Opus 5

92–73

56% on shared games

Covers Consensus

94–71

57% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

20 of 165 shared games

Claude Opus 5 9 · Covers Consensus 11

On the 145 games they agreed, the shared side went 83–62.

Closing-line value

Claude Opus 5

+0.34 pp

beat the close 55.3% of 190 picks

Covers Consensus

+0.22 pp

beat the close 53.6% of 207 picks

More head-to-heads

Claude Opus 5 vs GLM 5.2 Claude Opus 5 vs Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 5 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Claude Opus 5 vs Grok 4.5 Claude Opus 5 vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Claude Opus 5 vs Claude Sonnet 5 Claude Opus 5 vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Claude Opus 5 vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Covers Consensus vs GLM 5.2 Covers Consensus vs Claude Opus 4.8 Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Covers Consensus vs Grok 4.5 Covers Consensus vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Covers Consensus vs Claude Sonnet 5 Covers Consensus vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Covers Consensus vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.