predicted sports
← Fighters

Joel Alvarez

"El Fenomeno" · Welterweight · Orthodox
23-4-0 record
Elo
1900
Glicko
1902±182
BT
0.87
Height 6'3" Reach 77" Age 33
SLpM
4.53
sig. strikes landed / min
Str. Acc.
54%
striking accuracy
SApM
3.03
sig. strikes absorbed / min
Str. Def.
53%
striking defense
TD Avg.
0.18
takedowns / 15 min
TD Acc.
33%
takedown accuracy
TD Def.
46%
takedown defense
Sub. Avg.
1.10
sub attempts / 15 min
How the wins come (7)
43% KO/TKO 43% Submission 14% Decision 0% Other
How the losses come (2)
50% KO/TKO 50% Submission 0% Decision 0% Other
Significant strikes by position
87% Distance 11% Clinch 2% Ground
Significant strikes by target
62% Head 22% Body 16% Leg
Situational splits
finishes 67% · finished 22%

How this fighter's win rate shifts by context (min 2 fights per split).

When younger than opponent
100% 4-0
As the rating favorite
83% 5-1
With a reach advantage
78% 7-2
Vs orthodox
75% 6-2
As the rating underdog
67% 2-1
When older than opponent
60% 3-2
In the small (APEX) cage
50% 1-1
Fight history detailed data since 2020 · full record above
DateRes OpponentMethod Event
May 9, 2026 L Yaroslav Amosov SUB · R2 1:13 UFC 328
Oct 11, 2025 W Vicente Luque U-DEC UFC Fight Night
Dec 14, 2024 W Drakkar Klose KO/TKO · R1 2:48 UFC Fight Night
Aug 3, 2024 W Elves Brener KO/TKO · R3 3:36 UFC Fight Night
Jul 22, 2023 W Marc Diakiese SUB · R2 4:26 UFC Fight Night
Feb 26, 2022 L Arman Tsarukyan KO/TKO · R2 1:57 UFC Fight Night
Nov 13, 2021 W Thiago Moises KO/TKO · R1 3:01 UFC Fight Night
Oct 24, 2020 W Alexander Yakovlev SUB · R1 3:00 UFC 254
Jul 18, 2020 W Joe Duffy SUB · R1 2:25 UFC Fight Night