← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
Result
Joel Alvarez def.
SUB · R2 4:26
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
73"
33
Age
33
4.53
SLpM
2.54
54%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.03
SApM
2.64
53%
Str. Def.
52%
0.18
TD Avg.
3.29
46%
TD Def.
66%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Marc Diakiese
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Joel Alvarez
finishes 67% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
78%
(7-2)
Vs orthodox
75%
(6-2)
Marc Diakiese
finishes 0% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Vs orthodox
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
50%
(3-3)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
When younger than opponent
33%
(2-4)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.