Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque Prediction & Pick (UFC Fight Night) | Predicted Sports
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Pro
UFC Fight Night · Welterweight

Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque

October 11, 2025 · Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

JA
Joel Alvarez
23-5 · Orthodox
vs
Vicente Luque headshot
Vicente Luque
24-13-1 · Orthodox
Result
Joel Alvarez def. Vicente Luque
U-DEC

Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque tale of the tape

77"
Reach
75"
33
Age
34
4.59
SLpM
4.69
52%
Str. Acc.
50%
4.13
SApM
5.19
47%
Str. Def.
51%
0.15
TD Avg.
0.83
48%
TD Def.
60%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Joel Alvarez and Vicente Luque by the numbers

Joel Alvarez finishes 60% · finished 20% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vicente Luque finishes 42% · finished 25% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque: your questions

Who won Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque?
Joel Alvarez won by U-DEC at UFC Fight Night.
When is Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque and what weight class is it?
Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque is a Welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night, October 11, 2025 in Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
How is Joel Alvarez vs Vicente Luque likely to end?
The fight ended by U-DEC.