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Welterweight
Result
Joel Alvarez def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
75"
33
Age
34
4.53
SLpM
4.80
54%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.03
SApM
5.24
53%
Str. Def.
51%
0.18
TD Avg.
0.89
46%
TD Def.
59%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Joel Alvarez
finishes 67% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
78%
(7-2)
Vs orthodox
75%
(6-2)
Vicente Luque
finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent
75%
(6-2)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Vs southpaws
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.