predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Joel Alvarez
23-4 · Orthodox
vs
Drakkar Klose
16-3-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Joel Alvarez def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:48
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
70"
33
Age
38
4.53
SLpM
4.25
54%
Str. Acc.
55%
3.03
SApM
3.65
53%
Str. Def.
49%
0.18
TD Avg.
1.49
46%
TD Def.
69%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Joel Alvarez finishes 67% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
Drakkar Klose finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.