predicted sports
← UFC 328
Yaroslav Amosov
30-1 · Orthodox
vs
Joel Alvarez
23-4 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Yaroslav Amosov def.
SUB · R2 1:13
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
32
Age
33
2.65
SLpM
4.53
53%
Str. Acc.
54%
1.38
SApM
3.03
60%
Str. Def.
53%
11.11
TD Avg.
0.18
0%
TD Def.
46%
3.20
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Yaroslav Amosov
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Yaroslav Amosov
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Yaroslav Amosov finishes 100% · finished 0% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Joel Alvarez finishes 67% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.