Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez Prediction & Pick (UFC 328) | Predicted Sports
predicted sports
Pro
UFC 328 · Welterweight

Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez

May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey, USA

YA
Yaroslav Amosov
30-1 · Orthodox
vs
JA
Joel Alvarez
23-5 · Orthodox
Result
Yaroslav Amosov def. Joel Alvarez
SUB · R2 1:13

Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez tale of the tape

75"
Reach
77"
32
Age
33
2.65
SLpM
4.59
53%
Str. Acc.
52%
1.38
SApM
4.13
60%
Str. Def.
47%
11.11
TD Avg.
0.15
0%
TD Def.
48%
3.20
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Yaroslav Amosov and Joel Alvarez by the numbers

Yaroslav Amosov finishes 100% · finished 0% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Joel Alvarez finishes 60% · finished 20% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez: your questions

Who won Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez?
Yaroslav Amosov won by SUB · R2 1:13 at UFC 328.
When is Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez and what weight class is it?
Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez is a Welterweight bout at UFC 328, May 9, 2026 in Newark, New Jersey, USA.
How is Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez likely to end?
The fight ended by SUB · R2 1:13.