← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Joel Alvarez def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:01
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
70"
33
Age
31
4.53
SLpM
2.52
54%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.03
SApM
4.40
53%
Str. Def.
52%
0.18
TD Avg.
1.37
46%
TD Def.
52%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Thiago Moises
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Joel Alvarez
finishes 67% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
78%
(7-2)
Vs orthodox
75%
(6-2)
Thiago Moises
finishes 25% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite
67%
(4-2)
Giving up reach
67%
(6-3)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage
63%
(5-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.