← UFC 254
Lightweight
Result
Joel Alvarez def.
SUB · R1 3:00
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
74"
33
Age
41
4.53
SLpM
1.74
54%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.03
SApM
2.41
53%
Str. Def.
58%
0.18
TD Avg.
1.66
46%
TD Def.
72%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Joel Alvarez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Joel Alvarez
finishes 67% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
78%
(7-2)
Vs orthodox
75%
(6-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.