Nick Mahrley: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
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MLB ยท Umpire Tendencies

Nick Mahrley

With Nick Mahrley behind the plate, MLB games average 8.99 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 1.0, #44 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a roughly neutral umpire.

Run factor
1.00
0%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
1.02
+2%
strikeouts vs average
Games
86
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 1.02 (+2%) reflects how wide or tight Nick Mahrley calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 46.5% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 86 games with Nick Mahrley as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

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