predicted sports

Ballparks — Run in the 1st Inning

How often any run scores in the first inning at each park this season (both teams combined).

Run scoring by temperature

How many runs a game produces at each game-time temperature. Temperature is the one weather signal wired into our totals model — warmer air carries the ball — so this is the descriptive history behind it. League-wide, one row per game.

Cold
Below 55°F
8.17
avg total runs
Over (vs line)
368 games
Mild
55–69°F
8.55
avg total runs
Over (vs line) 50.0%
1,606 games
Warm
70–82°F
8.84
avg total runs
Over (vs line) 45.8%
3,191 games
Hot
83°F+
9.61
avg total runs
Over (vs line) 42.9%
1,037 games

Descriptive history, not a betting edge — over/under is close to market-efficient.

Run in the 1st inning, by park

# Ballpark Games Run in 1st
1 Coors Field 200 60.0%
2 Sutter Health Park 116 59.5%
3 George M. Steinbrenner Field 81 59.3%
4 Rate Field 123 55.3%
5 Chase Field 201 55.2%
6 loanDepot park 207 55.1%
7 Dodger Stadium 178 54.5%
8 Angel Stadium 205 52.7%
9 Fenway Park 203 51.7%
10 Daikin Park 122 51.6%
11 Truist Park 200 51.5%
12 Citizens Bank Park 207 51.2%
13 Yankee Stadium 211 51.2%
14 Rogers Centre 218 50.9%
15 Target Field 207 49.8%
16 Oakland Coliseum 81 49.4%
17 Progressive Field 209 47.8%
18 Petco Park 209 47.4%
19 PNC Park 207 47.3%
20 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 208 47.1%
21 Comerica Park 209 46.9%
22 Tropicana Field 124 46.8%
23 Globe Life Field 199 46.7%
24 Nationals Park 204 46.6%
25 American Family Field 213 46.5%
26 Kauffman Stadium 205 45.9%
27 Oracle Park 202 45.5%
28 Great American Ball Park 202 45.0%
29 Citi Field 208 43.8%
30 Wrigley Field 205 43.4%
31 Minute Maid Park 83 43.4%
32 UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 40 42.5%
33 Guaranteed Rate Field 81 42.0%
34 Busch Stadium 205 42.0%
35 T-Mobile Park 209 40.7%

Updated each day from completed games.