Wrigley Field Park Factors: Run, HR & Scoring Data | Predicted Sports
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MLB · Park Factors

Wrigley Field

Wrigley Field plays as a pitcher's park. Games there average 8.38 total runs versus a league average of 9.02, a run factor of 0.95, which ranks #28 of 35 MLB parks for scoring.

Run factor
0.95
-5%
runs vs average
HR factor
1.04
+4%
home runs vs average
Strikeout factor
0.99
-1%
strikeouts vs average
Run in the 1st
47%
of games here see a first-inning run

A run factor of 0.95 means Wrigley Field yields about -5% the runs of a neutral park. The home run factor (+4%) tells you how much of that comes from the ball leaving the yard, which is the part altitude, dimensions and wind swing the most.

Run scoring by temperature, at Wrigley Field

Average total runs by game-time temperature here.

Cold (under 55°F)
8.2
Mild (55-70°F)
7.9
Warm (70-83°F)
8.4
Hot (83°F+)
9.3

The home team wins 59.1% of games at Wrigley Field, across 230 games. Run environment and home success are separate questions: a park can inflate scoring without helping the home side win, which is exactly the story at the most extreme hitters' parks.

How we counted

From 230 games at Wrigley Field in our database, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average park. Descriptive history, not a prediction, and it updates on its own.

Last recomputed August 22, 2026.

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