Jen Pawol: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
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MLB ยท Umpire Tendencies

Jen Pawol

With Jen Pawol behind the plate, MLB games average 10.17 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 1.15, #3 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a hitter's umpire, one of the most run-friendly zones in the league.

Run factor
1.15
+15%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
0.92
-8%
strikeouts vs average
Games
35
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 0.92 (-8%) reflects how wide or tight Jen Pawol calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 65.7% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 35 games with Jen Pawol as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

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