Alex MacKay: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
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Alex MacKay

With Alex MacKay behind the plate, MLB games average 8.81 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 0.95, #77 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a pitcher's umpire, one of the tightest run-suppressing zones.

Run factor
0.95
-5%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
1.06
+6%
strikeouts vs average
Games
89
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 1.06 (+6%) reflects how wide or tight Alex MacKay calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 57.3% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 89 games with Alex MacKay as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

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