Derek Thomas: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
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MLB ยท Umpire Tendencies

Derek Thomas

With Derek Thomas behind the plate, MLB games average 9.57 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 1.07, #18 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a hitter's umpire, one of the most run-friendly zones in the league.

Run factor
1.07
+7%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
1.01
+1%
strikeouts vs average
Games
88
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 1.01 (+1%) reflects how wide or tight Derek Thomas calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 46.6% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 88 games with Derek Thomas as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

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