Rob Drake: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
predicted sports
Pro
MLB ยท Umpire Tendencies

Rob Drake

With Rob Drake behind the plate, MLB games average 7.81 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 0.88, #92 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a pitcher's umpire, one of the tightest run-suppressing zones.

Run factor
0.88
-12%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
1.02
+2%
strikeouts vs average
Games
68
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 1.02 (+2%) reflects how wide or tight Rob Drake calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 48.5% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 68 games with Rob Drake as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

๐Ÿ“Š Like this? Get the monthly AI report plus the daily email, free.