Brian O'Nora: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
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MLB ยท Umpire Tendencies

Brian O'Nora

With Brian O'Nora behind the plate, MLB games average 8.74 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 1.01, #37 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a roughly neutral umpire.

Run factor
1.01
+1%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
0.98
-2%
strikeouts vs average
Games
81
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 0.98 (-2%) reflects how wide or tight Brian O'Nora calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 56.8% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 81 games with Brian O'Nora as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

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