Adrian Johnson: MLB Umpire Run & Strikeout Tendencies | Predicted Sports
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MLB ยท Umpire Tendencies

Adrian Johnson

With Adrian Johnson behind the plate, MLB games average 10.21 total runs versus a league average of 9.02. That is a run factor of 1.13, #4 of 96 umpires for scoring, making him a hitter's umpire, one of the most run-friendly zones in the league.

Run factor
1.13
+13%
runs vs average
Strikeout factor
0.96
-4%
strikeouts vs average
Games
89
behind the plate, in our data

A strikeout factor of 0.96 (-4%) reflects how wide or tight Adrian Johnson calls the zone. A wider zone means more called strikes, more strikeouts, and fewer baserunners, which is why umpire run and strikeout factors usually move together. The home team wins 55.1% of his games, close to the league's modest home rate.

How we counted

From 89 games with Adrian Johnson as home-plate umpire, rebuilt nightly. Factors are normalized so 1.00 equals the league-average umpire. A single umpire is a small slice of the season, so read the extremes as tendencies, not certainties. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Last recomputed August 23, 2026.

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