NFL Survivor
Survivor Pool Picks — Week 17
Every Week 17 game ranked by our model's win probability, safest first. The favorites below are the raw survivor plays. To pick the right one you also have to plan the rest of your season, so use the optimizer once you know which teams you've already burned. Model as of Jul 14, 2026.
Top pick · Week 17
BUFBuffalo Bills @ MIA
70%
to win
Projected — no betting line posted for this game yet.
Every Week 17 pick, ranked by win probability
| # | Pick | Matchup | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF
proj |
@ MIA | 70% |
| 2 |  MIN
proj |
@ NYJ | 68% |
| 3 |  LA
proj |
@ TB | 65% |
| 4 |  SEA
proj |
@ CAR | 64% |
| 5 |  DAL
proj |
vs NYG | 64% |
| 6 |  JAX
proj |
vs WAS | 61% |
| 7 |  PIT
proj |
@ TEN | 59% |
| 8 |  LAC
proj |
vs KC | 57% |
| 9 |  ATL
proj |
vs NO | 57% |
| 10 |  SF
proj |
vs PHI | 56% |
| 11 |  NE
proj |
vs DEN | 55% |
| 12 |  IND
proj |
@ CLE | 54% |
| 13 |  CHI
proj |
vs DET | 52% |
| 14 |  BAL
proj |
@ CIN | 51% |
| 15 |  GB
proj |
vs HOU | 51% |
| 16 |  LV
proj |
@ ARI | 51% |
Don't just pick the biggest favorite.
Picking the safest team every week gets you eliminated the moment you need them later. Our optimizer plans your whole season at once, tells you which team to spend now, and shows the forward path around the teams you've already used.
Open the survivor optimizer →Picks tagged "proj" use our simulated team strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. See also the NFL playoff & Super Bowl odds.