NFL Survivor
Survivor Pool Picks — Week 11
Every Week 11 game ranked by our model's win probability, safest first. The favorites below are the raw survivor plays. To pick the right one you also have to plan the rest of your season, so use the optimizer once you know which teams you've already burned. Model as of Jul 14, 2026.
Top pick · Week 11
BUFBuffalo Bills vs MIA
78%
to win
Projected — no betting line posted for this game yet.
Every Week 11 pick, ranked by win probability
| # | Pick | Matchup | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF
proj |
vs MIA | 78% |
| 2 |  LAC
proj |
vs NYJ | 78% |
| 3 |  KC
proj |
vs ARI | 76% |
| 4 |  DEN
proj |
vs LV | 76% |
| 5 |  DAL
proj |
vs TEN | 71% |
| 6 |  HOU
proj |
vs IND | 69% |
| 7 |  CHI
proj |
vs NO | 66% |
| 8 |  DET
proj |
vs TB | 64% |
| 9 |  PHI
proj |
vs PIT | 64% |
| 10 |  BAL
proj |
@ CAR | 61% |
| 11 |  SF
proj |
vs MIN | 60% |
| 12 |  JAX
proj |
@ NYG | 57% |
| 13 |  WAS
proj |
vs CIN | 50% |
Don't just pick the biggest favorite.
Picking the safest team every week gets you eliminated the moment you need them later. Our optimizer plans your whole season at once, tells you which team to spend now, and shows the forward path around the teams you've already used.
Open the survivor optimizer →Picks tagged "proj" use our simulated team strength (no betting line posted yet) and sharpen as lines post. See also the NFL playoff & Super Bowl odds.