Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Grok 4.5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 492 games both have graded (last 90 days), Gemini 3.5 Flash leads 292–283 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 41 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.5 Flash was right 25 of 41.

MLB · 376 games both graded · to

Gemini 3.5 Flash
210–166
56% on shared games
Grok 4.5
207–169
55% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
33 of 376 shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash 18 · Grok 4.5 15

On the 343 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

UFC · 116 games both graded · to

Gemini 3.5 Flash
82–34
71% on shared games
Grok 4.5
76–40
66% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
8 of 116 shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash 7 · Grok 4.5 1

On the 108 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

Closing-line value
Gemini 3.5 Flash
+0.19 pp
beat the close 52.9% of 476 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.21 pp
beat the close 55.3% of 752 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result from the daily line-blind forecasts. The head-to-head counts only games both models graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.