Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Gemini 3.5 Flash vs Grok 4.5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 222 games both have graded (last 30 days), Gemini 3.5 Flash leads 130–128 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 24 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.5 Flash was right 13 of 24.

MLB · 184 games both graded · Jul 10 to Jul 26, 2026

Gemini 3.5 Flash
97–87
53% on shared games
Grok 4.5
97–87
53% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
22 of 184 shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash 11 · Grok 4.5 11

On the 162 games they agreed, the shared side went 86–76.

UFC · 38 games both graded · Jul 11 to Jul 25, 2026

Gemini 3.5 Flash
33–5
87% on shared games
Grok 4.5
31–7
82% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
2 of 38 shared games
Gemini 3.5 Flash 2 · Grok 4.5 0

On the 36 games they agreed, the shared side went 31–5.

Closing-line value
Gemini 3.5 Flash
+0.16 pp
beat the close 52.6% of 285 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.26 pp
beat the close 57.3% of 185 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.