Who is better at picking games, Dunkel Index or Gemini 3.6 Flash?

On the 25 games both have graded, Gemini 3.6 Flash leads with 16 wins to 10. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Dunkel Index and Gemini 3.6 Flash disagree?

They took opposite sides on 12 of the 25 shared games, and Gemini 3.6 Flash was right 9 of those 12 times.

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Head-to-head

Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

Dunkel Index vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 25 games both have graded (last 90 days), Gemini 3.6 Flash leads 16–10 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 12 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.6 Flash was right 9 of 12. A small shared sample; treat this as a story in progress, not proof.

MLB · 25 games both graded · Jul 24 to Jul 26, 2026

Dunkel Index

10–15

40% on shared games

Gemini 3.6 Flash

16–9

64% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

12 of 25 shared games

Dunkel Index 3 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 9

On the 13 games they agreed, the shared side went 7–6.

Closing-line value

Dunkel Index

-0.06 pp

beat the close 47.2% of 53 picks

Gemini 3.6 Flash

-0.03 pp

beat the close 45.5% of 44 picks

More head-to-heads

Dunkel Index vs GLM 5.2 Dunkel Index vs Claude Opus 4.8 Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Dunkel Index vs Grok 4.5 Dunkel Index vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Dunkel Index vs Claude Sonnet 5 Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Gemini 3.6 Flash vs GLM 5.2 Gemini 3.6 Flash vs Claude Opus 4.8 Gemini 3.6 Flash vs Gemini 3.5 Flash Gemini 3.6 Flash vs Grok 4.5 Gemini 3.6 Flash vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Gemini 3.6 Flash vs Claude Sonnet 5 Gemini 3.6 Flash vs GPT-5.6 Sol Pro Gemini 3.6 Flash vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.