Who is better at picking games, Dunkel Index or Kimi K3?

On the 123 games both have graded, Kimi K3 leads with 73 wins to 51. Every pick is made before the game and graded in public against the final result.

How often do Dunkel Index and Kimi K3 disagree?

They took opposite sides on 60 of the 123 shared games, and Kimi K3 was right 41 of those 60 times.

← All head-to-heads

Head-to-head

Dunkel Index vs Kimi K3

Dunkel Index vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

All time Last 30 days Last 90 days

On the 123 games both have graded (all time), Kimi K3 leads 73–51 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 60 games where they took opposite sides: Kimi K3 was right 41 of 60.

MLB · 123 games both graded · Jul 21 to Aug 4, 2026

Dunkel Index

51–72

41% on shared games

Kimi K3

73–50

59% on shared games

When they took opposite sides

60 of 123 shared games

Dunkel Index 19 · Kimi K3 41

On the 63 games they agreed, the shared side went 32–31.

Closing-line value

Dunkel Index

-0.08 pp

beat the close 45.9% of 135 picks

Kimi K3

+0.30 pp

beat the close 55.8% of 360 picks

More head-to-heads

Dunkel Index vs GLM 5.2 Dunkel Index vs Claude Opus 4.8 Dunkel Index vs Grok 4.5 Dunkel Index vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Dunkel Index vs Claude Sonnet 5 Dunkel Index vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Dunkel Index vs Gemini 3.6 Flash Dunkel Index vs CBS Sports Staff

Kimi K3 vs GLM 5.2 Kimi K3 vs Claude Opus 4.8 Kimi K3 vs Grok 4.5 Kimi K3 vs DeepSeek V4 Pro Kimi K3 vs Claude Sonnet 5 Kimi K3 vs GPT-5.6 Luna Pro Kimi K3 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash Kimi K3 vs CBS Sports Staff

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.