Claude Sonnet 5 vs Jon Picks: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Jon Picks

AI model vs Pickswise ยท same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 4 games both have graded (all time), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 2โ€“1 on correct calls. They have only disagreed 1 time so far, too few to read. A small shared sample; treat this as a story in progress, not proof.

MLB ยท 4 games both graded ยท Jul 20 to Jul 22, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
2โ€“2
50% on shared games
Jon Picks
1โ€“3
25% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
1 of 4 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 1 ยท Jon Picks 0

On the 3 games they agreed, the shared side went 1โ€“2.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.16 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 285 picks
Jon Picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.